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Beschreibung

"Kosuke Imai has produced a superb hands-on introduction to modern quantitative methods in the social sciences. Placing practical data analysis front and center, this book is bound to become a standard reference in the field of quantitative social science and an indispensable resource for students and practitioners alike."--Alberto Abadie, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

"The search for a good undergraduate social science textbook is eternal, but with Imai's book, the search may well be over. It covers a host of cutting-edge issues in quantitative analysis, from causality and inference to its use of R so that students can advance in both their research and work lives. Imai plots a new way for us to think about how to teach undergraduate methods."--Nathaniel Beck, New York University

"Kosuke Imai's book takes a very novel and interesting approach to a first quantitative methods course for the social sciences. Focusing on interesting questions from the beginning, he starts by introducing the potential outcome approach to causality, and proceeds to present the reader with a wide range of methods for an admirably broad range of settings, including textual, network, and spatial data. Integrated with the methodological discussions are examples with detailed R code. Readers who work through this book will be well equipped to use modern methods for data analysis in the social sciences. I highly recommend this book!"--Guido W. Imbens, coauthor of Causal Inference for Statistics, Social, and Biomedical Sciences

"This important new book seeks to democratize quantitative social science. In it, one of the world's foremost political methodologists shows how you can join the movement that has changed so much of the academic, commercial, government, and nonprofit worlds. It provides a seamless path from ignorance to insight in a few hundred clear and enlightening pages."--Gary King, Harvard University

"Imai's new textbook has the potential to totally transform how undergraduate statistics is taught. The focus is on data analysis first and statistics second. It is full of great and relevant empirical examples. Students will engage this book rather than dread it."--Christopher Winship, Harvard University

"This is the ideal book for a first class on data analysis. Not only does it provide students with a clear, accessible, and technically correct introduction to research design, computing with data, and statistical inference, but it does what truly great introductions to a topic all do--it generates excitement."--Kevin M. Quinn, University of California, Berkeley

"Finally, a statistics text has caught up with rapid developments in the social sciences in the last two decades, spanning everything from the rediscovery of design, randomization, and causality to Bayesian approaches. From the organization of the subject matter (e.g., causality, measurement, uncertainty) to the mode of presentation, Imai has produced a work that is both comprehensive and accessible, but reflects the vast breadth of topics and approaches today's social scientists are expected to know. The examples are extremely well chosen, a delight to read, and accompanied by R code. Social science finally has an introductory book that presents statistics as it is practiced at the research frontier today, not thirty years ago."--Simon Jackman, United States Studies Centre, University of Sydney

"Imai's new book on quantitative social science represents a groundbreaking and effective method for teaching statistics and quantitative methods to students in any number of fields--ranging from public health and medicine to education and political science. The motivating examples, clear and engaging exposition, and easy implementation for students will make it a resource they (and their instructors) turn to again and again."--Elizabeth Stuart, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

"Imai's fantastic textbook provides a succinct but thorough introduction to quantitative methods and how they are applied to social science problems. The text is easy to read while also providing material that is generally pitched at a level appropriate for newcomers to the subject."--Justin Grimmer, Stanford University

"Imai's text is engaging and full of examples. It will be widely taught and will have a wide impact. Anyone who really masters the skills and concepts presented here will know statistics better than many professional political scientists."--Andrew Eggers, University of Oxford

"Kosuke Imai has produced a superb hands-on introduction to modern quantitative methods in the social sciences. Placing practical data analysis front and center, this book is bound to become a standard reference in the field of quantitative social science and an indispensable resource for students and practitioners alike."--Alberto Abadie, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

"The search for a good undergraduate social science textbook is eternal, but with Imai's book, the search may well be over. It covers a host of cutting-edge issues in quantitative analysis, from causality and inference to its use of R so that students can advance in both their research and work lives. Imai plots a new way for us to think about how to teach undergraduate methods."--Nathaniel Beck, New York University

"Kosuke Imai's book takes a very novel and interesting approach to a first quantitative methods course for the social sciences. Focusing on interesting questions from the beginning, he starts by introducing the potential outcome approach to causality, and proceeds to present the reader with a wide range of methods for an admirably broad range of settings, including textual, network, and spatial data. Integrated with the methodological discussions are examples with detailed R code. Readers who work through this book will be well equipped to use modern methods for data analysis in the social sciences. I highly recommend this book!"--Guido W. Imbens, coauthor of Causal Inference for Statistics, Social, and Biomedical Sciences

"This important new book seeks to democratize quantitative social science. In it, one of the world's foremost political methodologists shows how you can join the movement that has changed so much of the academic, commercial, government, and nonprofit worlds. It provides a seamless path from ignorance to insight in a few hundred clear and enlightening pages."--Gary King, Harvard University

"Imai's new textbook has the potential to totally transform how undergraduate statistics is taught. The focus is on data analysis first and statistics second. It is full of great and relevant empirical examples. Students will engage this book rather than dread it."--Christopher Winship, Harvard University

"This is the ideal book for a first class on data analysis. Not only does it provide students with a clear, accessible, and technically correct introduction to research design, computing with data, and statistical inference, but it does what truly great introductions to a topic all do--it generates excitement."--Kevin M. Quinn, University of California, Berkeley

"Finally, a statistics text has caught up with rapid developments in the social sciences in the last two decades, spanning everything from the rediscovery of design, randomization, and causality to Bayesian approaches. From the organization of the subject matter (e.g., causality, measurement, uncertainty) to the mode of presentation, Imai has produced a work that is both comprehensive and accessible, but reflects the vast breadth of topics and approaches today's social scientists are expected to know. The examples are extremely well chosen, a delight to read, and accompanied by R code. Social science finally has an introductory book that presents statistics as it is practiced at the research frontier today, not thirty years ago."--Simon Jackman, United States Studies Centre, University of Sydney

"Imai's new book on quantitative social science represents a groundbreaking and effective method for teaching statistics and quantitative methods to students in any number of fields--ranging from public health and medicine to education and political science. The motivating examples, clear and engaging exposition, and easy implementation for students will make it a resource they (and their instructors) turn to again and again."--Elizabeth Stuart, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

"Imai's fantastic textbook provides a succinct but thorough introduction to quantitative methods and how they are applied to social science problems. The text is easy to read while also providing material that is generally pitched at a level appropriate for newcomers to the subject."--Justin Grimmer, Stanford University

"Imai's text is engaging and full of examples. It will be widely taught and will have a wide impact. Anyone who really masters the skills and concepts presented here will know statistics better than many professional political scientists."--Andrew Eggers, University of Oxford

Über den Autor
Kosuke Imai
Inhaltsverzeichnis
  • List of Tables
  • List of Figures
  • Preface
  • 1 Introduction
    • 1.1 Overview of the Book
    • 1.2 How to Use this Book
    • 1.3 Introduction to R
      • 1.3.1 Arithmetic Operations
      • 1.3.2 Objects
      • 1.3.3 Vectors
      • 1.3.4 Functions
      • 1.3.5 Data Files
      • 1.3.6 Saving Objects
      • 1.3.7 Packages
      • 1.3.8 Programming and Learning Tips
    • 1.4 Summary
    • 1.5 Exercises
      • 1.5.1 Bias in Self-Reported Turnout
      • 1.5.2 Understanding World Population Dynamics
    • 2 Causality
      • 2.1 Racial Discrimination in the Labor Market
      • 2.2 Subsetting the Data in R
        • 2.2.1 Logical Values and Operators
        • 2.2.2 Relational Operators
        • 2.2.3 Subsetting
        • 2.2.4 Simple Conditional Statements
        • 2.2.5 Factor Variables
      • 2.3 Causal Effects and the Counterfactual
      • 2.4 Randomized Controlled Trials
        • 2.4.1 The Role of Randomization
        • 2.4.2 Social Pressure and Voter Turnout
      • 2.5 Observational Studies
        • 2.5.1 Minimum Wage and Unemployment
        • 2.5.2 Confounding Bias
        • 2.5.3 Before-and-After and Difference-in-Differences Designs
      • 2.6 Descriptive Statistics for a Single Variable
        • 2.6.1 Quantiles
        • 2.6.2 Standard Deviation
      • 2.7 Summary
      • 2.8 Exercises
        • 2.8.1 Efficacy of Small Class Size in Early Education
        • 2.8.2 Changing Minds on Gay Marriage
        • 2.8.3 Success of Leader Assassination as a Natural Experiment
      • 3 Measurement
        • 3.1 Measuring Civilian Victimization during Wartime
        • 3.2 Handling Missing Data in R
        • 3.3 Visualizing the Univariate Distribution
          • 3.3.1 Bar Plot
          • 3.3.2 Histogram
          • 3.3.3 Box Plot
          • 3.3.4 Printing and Saving Graphs
        • 3.4 Survey Sampling
          • 3.4.1 The Role of Randomization
          • 3.4.2 Nonresponse and Other Sources of Bias
        • 3.5 Measuring Political Polarization
        • 3.6 Summarizing Bivariate Relationships
          • 3.6.1 Scatter Plot
          • 3.6.2 Correlation
          • 3.6.3 Quantile-Quantile Plot
        • 3.7 Clustering
          • 3.7.1 Matrix in R
          • 3.7.2 List in R
          • 3.7.3 The k-Means Algorithm
        • 3.8 Summary
        • 3.9 Exercises
          • 3.9.1 Changing Minds on Gay Marriage: Revisited
          • 3.9.2 Political Efficacy in China and Mexico
          • 3.9.3 Voting in the United Nations General Assembly
        • 4 Prediction
          • 4.1 Predicting Election Outcomes
            • 4.1.1 Loops in R
            • 4.1.2 General Conditional Statements in R
            • 4.1.3 Poll Predictions
          • 4.2 Linear Regression
            • 4.2.1 Facial Appearance and Election Outcomes
            • 4.2.2 Correlation and Scatter Plots
            • 4.2.3 Least Squares
            • 4.2.4 Regression towards the Mean
            • 4.2.5 Merging Data Sets in R
            • 4.2.6 Model Fit
          • 4.3 Regression and Causation
            • 4.3.1 Randomized Experiments
            • 4.3.2 Regression with Multiple Predictors
            • 4.3.3 Heterogeneous Treatment Effects
            • 4.3.4 Regression Discontinuity Design
          • 4.4 Summary
          • 4.5 Exercises
            • 4.5.1 Prediction Based on Betting Markets
            • 4.5.2 Election and Conditional Cash Transfer Program in Mexico
            • 4.5.3 Government Transfer and Poverty Reduction in Brazil
          • 5 Discovery
            • 5.1 Textual Data
              • 5.1.1 The Disputed Authorship of The Federalist Papers
              • 5.1.2 Document-Term Matrix
              • 5.1.3 Topic Discovery
              • 5.1.4 Authorship Prediction
              • 5.1.5 Cross Validation
            • 5.2 Network Data
              • 5.2.1 Marriage Network in Renaissance Florence
              • 5.2.2 Undirected Graph and Centrality Measures
              • 5.2.3 Twitter-Following Network
              • 5.2.4 Directed Graph and Centrality
            • 5.3 Spatial Data
              • 5.3.1 The 1854 Cholera Outbreak in London
              • 5.3.2 Spatial Data in R
              • 5.3.3 Colors in R
              • 5.3.4 US Presidential Elections
              • 5.3.5 Expansion of Walmart
              • 5.3.6 Animation in R
            • 5.4 Summary
            • 5.5 Exercises
              • 5.5.1 Analyzing the Preambles of Constitutions
              • 5.5.2 International Trade Network
              • 5.5.3 Mapping US Presidential Election Results over Time
            • 6 Probability
              • 6.1 Probability
                • 6.1.1 Frequentist versus Bayesian
                • 6.1.2 Definition and Axioms
                • 6.1.3 Permutations
                • 6.1.4 Sampling with and without Replacement
                • 6.1.5 Combinations
              • 6.2 Conditional Probability
                • 6.2.1 Conditional, Marginal, and Joint Probabilities
                • 6.2.2 Independence
                • 6.2.3 Bayes’ Rule
                • 6.2.4 Predicting Race Using Surname and Residence Location
              • 6.3 Random Variables and Probability Distributions
                • 6.3.1 Random Variables
                • 6.3.2 Bernoulli and Uniform Distributions
                • 6.3.3 Binomial Distribution
                • 6.3.4 Normal Distribution
                • 6.3.5 Expectation and Variance
                • 6.3.6 Predicting Election Outcomes with Uncertainty
              • 6.4 Large Sample Theorems
                • 6.4.1 The Law of Large Numbers
                • 6.4.2 The Central Limit Theorem
              • 6.5 Summary
              • 6.6 Exercises
                • 6.6.1 The Mathematics of Enigma
                • 6.6.2 A Probability Model for Betting Market Election Prediction
                • 6.6.3 Election Fraud in Russia
              • 7 Uncertainty
                • 7.1 Estimation
                  • 7.1.1 Unbiasedness and Consistency
                  • 7.1.2 Standard Error
                  • 7.1.3 Confidence Intervals
                  • 7.1.4 Margin of Error and Sample Size Calculation in Polls
                  • 7.1.5 Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials
                  • 7.1.6 Analysis Based on Student’s t-Distribution
                • 7.2 Hypothesis Testing
                  • 7.2.1 Tea-Tasting Experiment
                  • 7.2.2 The General Framework
                  • 7.2.3 One-Sample Tests
                  • 7.2.4 Two-Sample Tests
                  • 7.2.5 Pitfalls of Hypothesis Testing
                  • 7.2.6 Power Analysis
                • 7.3 Linear Regression Model with Uncertainty
                  • 7.3.1 Linear Regression as a Generative Model
                  • 7.3.2 Unbiasedness of Estimated Coefficients
                  • 7.3.3 Standard Errors of Estimated Coefficients
                  • 7.3.4 Inference about Coefficients
                  • 7.3.5 Inference about Predictions
                • 7.4 Summary
                • 7.5 Exercises
                  • 7.5.1 Sex Ratio and the Price of Agricultural Crops in China
                  • 7.5.2 File Drawer and Publication Bias in Academic Research
                  • 7.5.3 The 1932 German Election in the Weimar Republic
                • 8 Next
                • General Index
                • R Index
Details
Erscheinungsjahr: 2018
Genre: Importe, Soziologie
Rubrik: Wissenschaften
Medium: Taschenbuch
Inhalt: Einband - flex.(Paperback)
ISBN-13: 9780691175461
ISBN-10: 0691175462
Sprache: Englisch
Einband: Kartoniert / Broschiert
Autor: Imai, Kosuke
Hersteller: Princeton University Press
Verantwortliche Person für die EU: Libri GmbH, Europaallee 1, D-36244 Bad Hersfeld, gpsr@libri.de
Maße: 254 x 180 x 30 mm
Von/Mit: Kosuke Imai
Erscheinungsdatum: 09.02.2018
Gewicht: 0,911 kg
Artikel-ID: 103337531